Exit Strategies for Commercial Complexes in Economic Recession Periods (Case Study: Roya Mall Kish Commercial Complex)

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61186/JCER.7.1.12

Keywords:

Exit Strategy, Content Analysis, Economic Recession Period, Commercial Centers, Structural Dimensions

Abstract

The primary aim of this article is the identification and selection of the optimal strategy for the exit of a significant capital volume invested in the construction of commercial centers in the face of investment risk in the construction of commercial complexes, along with influential factors in challenging economic conditions such as exchange rate fluctuations, transregional power sanctions, stagflation, excessive supply and growth in commercial complex construction in the country, etc., specifically focused on the Royal Mall Kish project. Indeed, the effectiveness and reliability of formulating and selecting exit strategies based on successful implementation and the creation of a sustainable economic cycle for a commercial complex are deemed essential and prerequisite. The research method employed is qualitative. In the qualitative section of this study, through interviews, we identified the relevant factors affecting exit strategies, considering the current conditions and business environment to achieve ultimate goals. These factors are ultimately categorized into three dimensions: structural, behavioral, and contextual. The qualitative sample population includes active experts in this project. At theoretical saturation point, 8 experts were identified as participants in the research. Ultimately, 43 influential components on strategy selection and 5 exit strategies were identified in this project that can be determined as suitable strategies in the appropriate situation for decision-making regarding exit.

References

Barrero, Jose Maria, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven J. Davis. COVID-19 is also a reallocation shock. No. w27137. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2020.

Baker, Scott R., et al. Covid-induced economic uncertainty. No. w26983. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2020.

Rossi, Cesare, et al. "The strategic assessment of intellectual capital assets: An application within Terradue Srl." Journal of Business Research 69.5 (2016): 1598-1603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.10.024

Haterad, Saman, et al. "Estimating the Impact of Liquidity Growth, Inflation Rate and Exchange Rate Growth on Iran’s Economic Growth: Midas & MF-VAR Methods Approach." Iranian Journal of Trade Studies 27.107 (2023): 67-106. https://doi.org/10.22034/ijts.2023.1996415.3817

Forbes, Kristin, Ida Hjortsoe, and Tsvetelina Nenova. "The shocks matter: improving our estimates of exchange rate pass-through." Journal of international economics 114 (2018): 255-275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.07.005

Asgharpur, Hossein, et al. "Investigating the Interaction Effects of Exchange Rate Regimes and Inflation on Iran's Economic Growth." Iranian Journal of Trade Studies 26.104 (2022): 47-74. https://doi.org/10.22034/ijts.2022.555537.3667

Kunc, Martin. Strategic analytics: integrating management science and strategy. John Wiley & Sons, 2018.

Hitt, Michael A., R. Duane Ireland, and Robert E. Hoskisson. Strategic management: Concepts and cases: Competitiveness and globalization. Cengage Learning, 2016.

Bakhshizadeh, Alirezaa, et al. "Studying the Effects of Celebrities’ Endorsement on Shopping Malls Success through Brand Credibility." Iranian Journal of Trade Studies 22.86 (2018): 65-88. https://dor.isc.ac/dor/20.1001.1.17350794.1397.22.86.3.2.

Vaghfi, Seyed Hesam, Seyed Ehsan Hosseini, and Fatmeh Keshvari. "Investigating the Effect of Cost Management and Differentiation Strategies on Company Risk, with Emphasis on the Role of Intellectual Capital and Risk Management." Iranian Journal of Trade Studies 26.104 (2022): 157-180. https://doi.org/10.22034/ijts.2022.554331.3652

Liu, Ligang. "Impact of the global financial crisis on China: Empirical evidence and policy implications." China & world economy 17.6 (2009): 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-124X.2009.01171.x

Jamaludin, Shahrizan, et al. "COVID-19 exit strategy: Transitioning towards a new normal." Annals of Medicine and Surgery 59 (2020): 165-170. 10.1016/j.amsu.2020.09.046

Lemley, Mark A., and Andrew McCreary. "Exit strategy." BUL Rev. 101 (2021): 1.

Precup, Mihai. "The Exit Behavior of Private Equity Firms in Eastern Europe." The Journal of Private Equity 22.4 (2019): 83-95. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26864438

Gilbert, Marius, et al. "Preparing for a responsible lockdown exit strategy." Nature medicine 26.5 (2020): 643-644. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0871-y

Marziano, Valentina, et al. "Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118.4 (2021): e2019617118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2019617118

Bongardt, Annette, and Francisco Torres. "The European green deal: More than an exit strategy to the pandemic crisis, a building block of a sustainable European economic model." JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies 60.1 (2022): 170-185. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.13264

Alderighi, Marco, and Alberto A. Gaggero. "Entry and exit strategy of low-cost carriers and global crises." Research in Transportation Business & Management 45 (2022): 100845. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rtbm.2022.100845

Downloads

Published

2025-03-01

How to Cite

Exit Strategies for Commercial Complexes in Economic Recession Periods (Case Study: Roya Mall Kish Commercial Complex). (2025). Journal of Civil Engineering Researchers, 7(1), 12-21. https://doi.org/10.61186/JCER.7.1.12